Snowbird Fall Migration: Weather, Weather, Weather

The life of a snowbird. 

We arrived in Hingham in early May and within a few weeks had already chosen November 1st as the target date for returning to Sarasota. Why set a date so quickly you ask and what about the weather, which as readers know is the cruising variable beyond our control? 

The early selection of the target date is easy to understand. We need to line up crew for the voyage and our volunteers need to have to have time to plan their schedules (which includes possible down time for weather).  

The weather is always a challenge.  We need a good enough weather window to enable us to optimally cruise from Hingham to Stuart in seven days and six nights on the North Atlantic Coast.

Explanatory Note: Even with less than perfect weather, we can still safely make the trip using inland waters, which comprise well over  of the 1200 of the 1450 miles to Stuart.  However, each time we “duck in” we increase the length of the trip by increasing the distance and eliminating night running.  Inland waters north to south: Long Island Sound, Delaware River, Chesapeake Bay, and the Atlantic Intracoastal Waterway.

Why the hurry you ask?  Three simple answers.  November is not exactly prime time for port to port cruising, we have a car to move and our insurance company does not want us south of Cape Hatteras before November 15.  Oh, did I mention the Furry Kid? Kodi refuses to eliminate on the boat and that would restrict us to day cruising, which combined with the ups and downs of weather would make for a 30 day trip to cover the distance (about 1,700 statute miles).  It would also add needless expense.  Add to that the fact that we would be sleeping in port while the good weather “goes away” and it’s easy to understand our “move the boat” strategy.

Explanatory Note: Our insurance company gives us special dispensation with regard to crossing Cape Hatterasth before November 15 if there are no tropical storms in our path and we accept a higher (six figure) wind deductible.

Two Hingham Shipyard friends signed on early for the cruise south, which quickly eliminated challenge #1.  Both are experienced boaters.  Skip Roper, a boater from I-dock, and his wife Jan have a 31 foot single engine Eastern Trawler.  Guy Aries has both a boat at the marina and his captain’s license.



Diana, Skip and Jan at the Hingham Yacht Club

Now to the weather.  I watch the weather every day and consider myself a student of weather.  I am always calculating whether the conditions could be used as the seven day weather window we need. Surprisingly, these windows occur frequently all year.  As the time draws near for departure (approximately10 days out) I start predicting whether the weather will be “good enough” (waves 3 to 5 foot or better) for the targeted cruising period.

Hello Hurricane Patricia.  This remarkable Category 5 hurricane (i.e., sustained winds over the 155 MPH minimum), the strongest on record (with gusts to 247 MPH), hit the southwest coast of Mexico on October 23rd, 60 miles north of Manzanillo and south Porta Vallatra.  It then diminished quickly into a tropical storm (thank you mountains) and headed northeast through Texas, along the Gulf and then up the Ohio Valley.  It cleared out a lot of weather, especially in New England where we had seven days of high northeast winds due to a Bermuda High that stalled a cold front along the coast.

The passage of Patricia’s remnants caused me to move up the departure date to Saturday, October 31.  Three days earlier, it was clear that starting on Saturday, I had a six day weather window as high pressure formed on the eastern US with low winds and calm seas all the way to Stuart. Those conditions were still in place on Saturday morning.



High Pressure dominates the east coast
Siruus wind and waves prediction
Dark blue represents calm seas under 2 feet
Intensiity changes as colors move from blue to light blue light green, green, etc to red

Written by Les

Sebastian 5-4-1999 to 10-24-2015

June 4 th., 1989: I walked into Larry and Jackie’s house to view the litter of puppies that their dog Buffy had whelped 4 weeks earlier. We had always admired Buffy, a stout, smart, and spirited Jack Russell. Our three year old Sheltie, Daisy, was in need of a companion. I had this wild idea […]

[Kensblog] Sans Souci is in Florida

Sans Souci, Nordhavn 68
[Kensblog] Sans Souci is in Florida 11/2/2015 10:06:06 AM

I was surprised by this article in a Palm Beach newspaper showing Sans Souci moored in front of a restaurant in Ft Lauderdale, Florida.

Sans Souci in Florida awaiting transport to the west coast

Sans Souci in Florida awaiting transport to the west coast

Article in Palm Beach Newspaper

Those of you visiting the Ft Lauderdale boat show have a good chance of seeing Sans Souci!

Our hope is to put Sans Souci on a freighter and have her delivered to the West Coast sometime before Christmas.

I’ve started work on a list of winter projects and will post that list here sometime in the next few days.

For now, the biggest projects I know of are going to be:

–          Upgrade the satellite tv system to do HD
–          Replace the stabilizers in order to take advantage of ABT’s “at rest stabilization” system (named Star)

More later…

Ken Williams
Nordhavn 68
Sans Souci



You can access the blog entry
here.

Start your own blog now! Free!

Passagemaking with a Nordhavn 2015-11-02 03:06:06

Sans Souci, Nordhavn 68
[Kensblog] Sans Souci is in Florida 11/2/2015 10:06:06 AM

I was surprised by this article in a Palm Beach newspaper showing Sans Souci moored in front of a restaurant in Ft Lauderdale, Florida.

Sans Souci in Florida awaiting transport to the west coast

Sans Souci in Florida awaiting transport to the west coast

Article in Palm Beach Newspaper

Those of you visiting the Ft Lauderdale boat show have a good chance of seeing Sans Souci!

Our hope is to put Sans Souci on a freighter and have her delivered to the West Coast sometime before Christmas.

I’ve started work on a list of winter projects and will post that list here sometime in the next few days.

For now, the biggest projects I know of are going to be:

–          Upgrade the satellite tv system to do HD
–          Replace the stabilizers in order to take advantage of ABT’s “at rest stabilization” system (named Star)

More later…

Ken Williams
Nordhavn 68
Sans Souci



You can access the blog entry
here.

Start your own blog now! Free!

Chesapeake, Va to Bald Head Island, NC

Day 1: Atlantic Yacht Basin to Alligator River: Today is our chosen departure day from Atlantic Yacht Basin. After four months of being land bound, we a little rusty on our boating routine. At first light, we slowly ease Idyll Time out of Shed 6, which has been her home since June. Our first stop […]

Stranded….

We pulled into Hinckley Yacht Services in Savannah, Georgia earlier this week for what we hoped was a simple fix to an exhaust leak. As boat adventures often go, the problem was bigger than we had hoped. So the crew settled in for a stay. It was no big…

Chilly, 0C this am, time to think about going south.

Here in Ontario the temps are dropping. Spent the last week putting things away, parking cars and golf clubs, last few visits with friends, grandson Elliott, then south to reconnect with Sylken Sea in Trinni. Great summer but getting excited to be floa…

ベジライフ酵素液の販売会社が一番お得に購入出来る理由とは

ベジライフ酵素液を販売している会社は、   株式会社ステップワールド   という会社が販売…

Hingham Adventures: Peddlocks Island

Lesley, Amelia and I continued our island adventures with a visit to Peddocks Island in late August, again in search of monarch eggs.


Peddocks lies across Hull Gut and the Pemberton neighborhood of Hull to the north and across West Gut to Nut Island and Hough’s Neck to the west. The island is one of the larger islands in Boston Harbor at 210.4 acres and has the longest island shoreline. Peddocks Island comprises four headlands connected by gravel or sand bars known as tombolos.

Peddocks Island looking northeast into Hull Bay
Hull Gut is to the left. The West Gut and Hough’s Neck is to the right

Looking east across Hull Gut to Pemberton Point

Peddocks is One of many Boston Harbor Islands that was inhabited by Native Americans prior to European settlement in America and was was primarily used for farming since 1634. Its closeness to mainland Boston enabled its use for military purposes as well. During the Revolutionary War more than 600 militiamen were stationed on the island to guard against the return of British troops following their evacuation of Boston by the hand of Gen. George Washington on March 17, 1776. A patriot infantrymen’s raid on a Loyalist (Tory) farm is also believed to have taken place on the island.[4]

In 1904, Fort Andrews was built on the island, and it served as an active harbor defense fort until the end of WWII. As of 2008, 26 of the original buildings of Fort Andrews were still standing — guardhouses, prisoner-of-war barracks, stables, a gymnasium, a firehouse, etc. — although most of them were in decrepit shape and were closed to the public for safety reasons.

It is still inhabited today although by only 17 people.  The island has no electricity or running water.  We met one of the residents and he told us that theState of Massachusetts had deliberately destroyed a water main that ran to the island from Hough’s Neck in an attempt to force residents off the island. According to his account, the State nearly succeeded but was prevented from evicting the residents due to the manner in which titled had been conveyed to the properties.

Lesley, Amelia and I walked from one end of the island to the other by the central path that connects the headlands.  Then we walked back along the northeast shoreline.  In total we walked over 3 miles. I’ll let the photos tell the story.

A building from Fort Andrews with parade field to the left
A photo showing a now demolished building and the one in the above photo

Our dingy anchored off the ferry dock

Stairs leading to a camp ground on the drumlin

Cicada

One of the houses on the island

View of the west headland with cottages visibile

Houses on the west side of the islands.  Some in very good shape

Yes, they really have out houses.  No running water

Long abandoned cottage

Rain barrel to collect water

Remnants of a dock

One of the island’s 17 residents

View of the Ranger station

National Park Service Rangers

Historic photos

 

Lesley captures me pulling up the anchor

We had a great visit but alas, we did not find a single monarch egg. We will definitely return next summer.

Written by Les.


Hingham Adventures: Spectacle Island

We made three visits to Spectacle Island this summer, one by dingy and two with the 63.  Spectacle Island is located about 6 miles west of Hingham in Boston Harbor.  Our first visit in late July was by dingy and was made possible by a relativ…